Долгорочните сопственици на биткоин сега поседуваат скоро 80% од реализираното капаче

On-chain data shows the part of the Bitcoin realized cap held by the long-term holders has increased and is now at nearly 80%.

Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Own Almost 80% Of Realized Cap

Како што е објаснето од аналитичар во CryptoQuant пост, the crypto has historically tended to form bottoms around when the long-term holder share of realized cap has exceeded 80%.

На "долгорочни носители” (LTHs) are all those Bitcoin investors who have been holding onto their coins without selling or moving since at least 155 days ago.

The realized cap is a way of assessing the capitalization of the crypto where each circulating coin’s value is taken as the price it was last moved or sold at, rather than the current BTC price.

Now, the relevant on-chain indicator here is the “realized cap – UTXO age bands (%),” which tells us what part are the various groups in the Bitcoin market contributing to the total realized cap of the coin.

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The various age bands denote the amount of time investors belonging to a group have been holding their coins for.

As mentioned earlier, LTHs include all cohorts holding since at least 155 days ago. Here is a chart that shows how the contribution to the realized cap by these investors have changed over the history of Bitcoin:

Looks like the value of the metric has observed rise recently | Source: КриптоКвајт

In the above graph, the quant has marked all the relevant points of trend related to the Bitcoin realized cap percentage of the LTHs.

It seems like whenever the indicator’s value has crossed the 80% mark, a bottom in the price of the crypto has taken place.

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Currently, the metric’s value has been rising up in recent weeks, however, it has still not gone above the threshold just yet.

Nonetheless, the indicator is nearly there. If its value continues to rise and the historical pattern holds this time as well, then Bitcoin may observe a дното наскоро.

БТЦ цена

Во времето на пишувањето, Цената на Биткоин плови околу 21 илјади долари, што е пад од 30% во последните седум дена. Во текот на изминатиот месец, крипто изгуби 30% од вредноста.

Табелата подолу го прикажува трендот на цената на монетата во последните пет дена.

Се чини дека вредноста на крипто се движи настрана во последните неколку дена | Извор: BTCUSD на TradingView

Since the crash a few days ago, Bitcoin has been mostly consolidating around the $21k mark. Currently, it’s unclear whether the decline is over, or if more is coming.

If the LTH share of the realized cap is anything to go by, then BTC may first seen a bit more decline before the bottom is finally in.

Истакната слика од Kanchanara на Unsplash.com, графикони од TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com