Предвидување на цената на биткоинот: од мечката до бикот

Crypto is in a bear market and Bitcoin continues to hover near $30,000 as bulls battle bears amid broader market weakness.

At the time of writing, BTC/USD pair is down 1.4% in the past 24 hours. Over the past week, Bitcoin’s price is down just over 13% according to data from CoinGecko.

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Here are three price predictions for BTC- from three different ‘types’ of analysts. Remember, it’s not financial advice.

Мечката

Peter Schiff is a veteran investor, economist and global strategist. He also happens to be a long-term crypto skeptic. As markets bleed, he believes there’s more pain ahead for Bitcoin.

According to him, Bitcoin’s break below crucial support levels and the chart paints an ominous outlook for the flagship cryptocurrency.

In a clearly skeptical tone, he asks:

How can anyone who looks at this chart stay long #Bitcoin? Now that the upper support line has been broken, a move to the lower support line is a high probability. The chart has both double top and head and shoulders top patterns. The combination is ominous. It’s a long way down!

Како може секој што ќе ја погледне оваа табела да остане долго #Bitcoin? Сега, кога горната линија за поддршка е скршена, голема веројатност е да се преселите на долната линија за поддршка. Табелата има и двојни шари на горниот дел и горните модели на главата и рамениците. Комбинацијата е застрашувачка. Тоа е долг пат надолу! pic.twitter.com/GTNyUXFB63
- Питер Шиф (@PeterSchiff) Може 16, 2022

Schiff has previously said, long term, Bitcoin could go to zero.

Bottom not yet, but BTC is bullish

Analysts at macro hedge fund Dunia Digital say the Bitcoin price will rebound higher. According to them, the market is at that point in the halving cycle where it’s approaching a bottom.

The hint? The last three halving cycles have all predicted (perfectly) when the bull market happens.

The Bitcoin Halving Cycle. #Bitcoin"S #преполовување cycle boasts a perfect track record of forecasting the previous 3 bull markets.
With turmoil in crypto markets, now is a good time to zoom-out and ask: Where are we in the Halving Cycle?
When will the market bottom out?
?
— Dunia Digital (@DuniaDigital_) Може 16, 2022

Each halving has marked the onset of a multi-month exponential rise in the price of Bitcoin, accurate to within a handful of weeks.

Going by this, Bitcoin is yet to bottom out and when it does (likely to be in December 22), a new multi-month rally will follow. Being long BTC is thus what Dunia Digital is looking at.

Тајмингот:
The two previous cycles both put in their lowest price exactly 13 months after the cycle peak (January 2015 and December 2018).
This gives a projection for the current price cycle to bottom-out some time in December 2022. pic.twitter.com/t6BmRziwPP
— Dunia Digital (@DuniaDigital_) Може 16, 2022

A possible bullish breakout

Last week, Bitcoin fell to lows of $26,800, breaking below a crucial support line at $28,000. But with a swift bounce above $30k, some market observers are saying the market is showing resilience likely to help BTC pitch some more upside.

Pseudonymous crypto analyst MMCrypto says BTC is showing a potential ‘W breakout’. His short-term projection puts the breakout target at $33,800, with a “less conservative” option of $36,800 if there’s a head and shoulder pattern upside break.

Bitcoin has traded lower since hitting the all-time peak of $69,000. Recently, it has recoiled from highs near $49k and again around $38k.

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